Matelica Calcio vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAT
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
PIN
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 0
LAQ
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
JES
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +4 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIS
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
JES
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |