Matelica Calcio vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAT
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 2
JES
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 3
MAT
18%
21%
62%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAT
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
50%
23%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
CAS
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
FVE
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AMI
1 - 2
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |