Matela AD vs Comercial B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
+149%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 4
MAT
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MAC
5 - 0
MAT
57%
21%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 4
PNG
41%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 1
MAT
46%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 1
CAS
20%
19%
61%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COM
3 - 1
CAZ
56%
20%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
COM
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COM
4 - 1
MAC
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PNG
3 - 0
COM
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
COM
2 - 3
FRI
45%
21%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |