Matchakhela vs Bakhmaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matchakhela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RVA
3 - 0
MAT
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
BOR
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
MAT
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MAT
2 - 1
LTB
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MER
3 - 2
MAT
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bakhmaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 0
BAK
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 1
LTB
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
GUR
0 - 0
BAK
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 2
GOR
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SAT
0 - 0
BAK
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |