Matara vs Sl Navy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
CRY
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAU
1 - 0
MAT
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
DBO
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
PEL
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
REN
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sl Navy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 1
BLU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
NEG
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COU
0 - 1
NAV
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
YOU
0 - 1
NAV
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
KAL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |