Maruinense vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2005 |
AME
1 - 5
MAR
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
RFC
3 - 2
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BOC
5 - 1
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 62 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2005 |
CON
1 - 2
SER
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BOC
3 - 1
CON
16%
20%
64%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
RFC
1 - 4
CON
14%
20%
66%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CON
0 - 2
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |