Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
PET
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
5 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
JEA
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PAU
5 - 0
BEN
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PET
0 - 1
PAU
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 1
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JEA
0 - 0
PAU
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
PIE
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |