Marsonia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
NKS
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SLO
0 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
ZRI
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VUK
3 - 0
SLO
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
VUK
1 - 0
HNK
22%
24%
53%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 3
VUK
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VUK
0 - 0
ZRI
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 1
VUK
17%
24%
60%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |