2. HNL Round 15

Marsonia vs Vukovar '91 analysis

Marsonia Vukovar '91
54 ELO 52
-2.6% Tilt 16.2%
6271º General ELO ranking 1945º
53º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Marsonia
26%
Draw
28.3%
Vukovar '91

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Marsonia
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.3%
Win probability
Vukovar '91
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marsonia
-52%
+23%
Vukovar '91

ELO progression

Marsonia
Vukovar '91
Moslavina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marsonia
Marsonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2007
HDR
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
2 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
64%
21%
15%
53 63 10 0
04 Nov. 2007
MAR
Marsonia
3 - 0
Slavonac
SLA
52%
24%
24%
52 50 2 +1
27 Oct. 2007
MOS
Moslavina
2 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
50%
24%
26%
53 55 2 -1
21 Oct. 2007
MAR
Marsonia
3 - 2
Pomorac
POM
33%
26%
41%
52 58 6 +1
14 Oct. 2007
TRO
Trogir
4 - 1
Marsonia
MAR
47%
24%
29%
53 54 1 -1

Matches

Vukovar '91
Vukovar '91
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2007
VUK
Vukovar '91
0 - 2
Segesta
SEG
39%
28%
33%
54 59 5 0
04 Nov. 2007
VIN
Jaska Vinogradar
1 - 1
Vukovar '91
VUK
58%
23%
20%
53 58 5 +1
27 Oct. 2007
VUK
Vukovar '91
1 - 1
Belisce
BEL
34%
26%
40%
53 59 6 0
20 Oct. 2007
IMO
Imotski
3 - 0
Vukovar '91
VUK
37%
27%
37%
54 50 4 -1
14 Oct. 2007
VUK
Vukovar '91
2 - 0
Mosor
MOS
54%
25%
21%
54 51 3 0