Marsonia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
IMO
2 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
HAS
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
4 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
BJE
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SOL
1 - 0
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
VUK
1 - 1
HDR
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
CAK
3 - 3
VUK
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
VUK
2 - 0
MOS
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
HNK
2 - 0
VUK
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
INT
2 - 1
VUK
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |