Conference Premier North Round 4

Marske United vs Bamber Bridge analysis

Marske United Bamber Bridge
39 ELO 47
7.4% Tilt 12.1%
8726º General ELO ranking 7355º
369º Country ELO ranking 275º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Marske United
24%
Draw
48.2%
Bamber Bridge

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Marske United
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.2%
Win probability
Bamber Bridge
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marske United
-9%
+72%
Bamber Bridge

Points and table prediction

Marske United
Their league position
Bamber Bridge
CURR.POS.
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
17º
22º
17º
47
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radcliffe Borough
90
93
100%
Macclesfield Town
80
83
82%
Marine
79
82
72.5%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
75
79
80%
Worksop Town
73
76
89.5%
Hyde
70
71
90%
Ashton United
70
70
98.5%
Ilkeston Town FC
66
66
60%
Gainsborough Trinity
63
66
52%
Lancaster City
11º
62
65
10º
24%
Whitby Town
10º
62
63
11º
45.5%
Guiseley
12º
61
62
12º
70.5%
Morpeth Town
13º
56
56
13º
88.5%
Matlock Town
14º
53
53
14º
20%
United of Manchester
15º
52
53
15º
27.5%
Bamber Bridge
16º
47
48
16º
48.5%
Marske United
22º
24
48
17º
20%
Workington
17º
44
44
18º
71.5%
Basford United
18º
37
38
19º
85%
Bradford Park Avenue
19º
33
33
20º
70.5%
Stafford Rangers
20º
30
31
21º
71%
Atherton Collieries
21º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marske United
Bamber Bridge
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
85% 100%
Relegation
15% 0%

ELO progression

Marske United
Bamber Bridge
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marske United
Marske United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
MAR
Marske United
1 - 2
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
31%
24%
46%
39 46 7 0
25 Jul. 2023
BLY
Blyth Spartans
4 - 2
Marske United
MAR
58%
21%
21%
39 46 7 0
22 Apr. 2023
LIV
Liversedge
0 - 1
Marske United
MAR
39%
22%
39%
38 37 1 +1
20 Apr. 2023
MAR
Marske United
2 - 2
Nantwich Town
NAN
55%
21%
24%
38 37 1 0
18 Apr. 2023
MAR
Marske United
4 - 2
Stalybridge Celtic
STA
60%
21%
19%
37 35 2 +1

Matches

Bamber Bridge
Bamber Bridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
1 - 1
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
63%
20%
17%
47 41 6 0
15 Aug. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
2 - 0
Hyde
HYD
45%
24%
31%
45 47 2 +2
12 Aug. 2023
MAT
Matlock Town
0 - 0
Bamber Bridge
BAM
42%
25%
33%
45 46 1 0
29 Jul. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
0 - 2
Warrington Town
WAR
25%
23%
52%
45 54 9 0
15 Jul. 2023
BAM
Bamber Bridge
2 - 6
Fylde
FYL
20%
23%
57%
45 59 14 0