Marsaskala vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIC
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
MQA
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MDI
1 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
SGC
4 - 3
ZAB
68%
18%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ZAB
2 - 0
MDI
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ZAB
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ZAB
3 - 0
SIG
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
KIR
2 - 5
ZAB
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +3 |