Marsaskala vs Qrendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
12º
6º
13
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
52% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
MQA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Qrendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
QRE
1 - 2
FUN
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LIJ
4 - 5
QRE
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
QRE
0 - 2
SAI
38%
24%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
QRE
0 - 1
SWI
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 4
QRE
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |