Marsala vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAR
9%
22%
70%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 2
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 1
MES
48%
25%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
TUR
84%
13%
3%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SOR
3 - 1
TUR
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |