Marsala vs Real Nocera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIT
2 - 1
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
26%
23%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
HYR
0 - 3
MAR
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Nocera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
REA
1 - 2
TUR
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HYR
3 - 2
REA
14%
21%
66%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
REA
0 - 1
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
REA
3 - 0
VAL
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |