Marsala vs Nerostellati Frattese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USV
3 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SIR
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUV
4 - 3
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CIT
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NFR
1 - 0
REN
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NFR
1 - 3
TUR
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 3
NFR
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NFR
0 - 2
BAT
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DTO
0 - 1
NFR
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |