Marsala vs Modica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ACI
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
NIS
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
REA
3 - 1
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
CIT
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
TUR
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
HYR
1 - 2
MOD
24%
24%
51%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOT
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 1
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
VAL
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |