Marsala vs Nola 1925 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
22%
22%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MES
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nola 1925
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HYR
0 - 0
TUR
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
HYR
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
HYR
2 - 3
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VAL
4 - 1
HYR
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
HYR
0 - 1
MES
15%
23%
62%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |