Marsa FC vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
11º
10º
16
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MQA
1 - 2
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTA
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
FUN
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIJ
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
5 - 0
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 1
SAN
44%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |