Marsa FC vs Mellieha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SEN
1 - 1
MAR
72%
16%
11%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
FUN
16%
22%
63%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | +4 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 2
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZAB
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 5
VEN
24%
24%
52%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Mellieha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 0
PAT
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MQA
1 - 0
MEL
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SEN
0 - 2
MEL
26%
24%
49%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
FUN
33%
25%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
VEN
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |