Apertura Guatemala . Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Marquense vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
HAL
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
3 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 0
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 2
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |