Marquense vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
LEO
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 4
UNI
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 4
LEO
46%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
LEO
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
VEN
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CON
3 - 3
MUN
42%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |