Market Drayton Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Market Drayton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
5 - 1
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
WIT
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 2
STA
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SLA
3 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 4
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WIT
3 - 1
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
BEL
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
STO
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
GRE
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |