Durban City vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
POL
56%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PIR
2 - 3
MAR
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
PLS
2 - 0
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
PRE
0 - 1
SSU
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
PRE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 0
PRE
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 0
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
PRE
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |