Bulgaria Third Division South-East Round 18

Maritsa Plovdiv vs Nesebar analysis

Maritsa Plovdiv Nesebar
46 ELO 42
-4% Tilt -1.6%
5556º General ELO ranking 5797º
46º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
58.3%
Maritsa Plovdiv
22.2%
Draw
19.4%
Nesebar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
Nesebar
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Maritsa Plovdiv
+72%
+12%
Nesebar

ELO progression

Maritsa Plovdiv
Nesebar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Maritsa Plovdiv
Maritsa Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2020
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
4 - 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
81%
13%
6%
48 69 21 0
15 Jan. 2020
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 - 6
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
7%
15%
78%
48 72 24 0
23 Nov. 2019
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
6 - 0
Dimitrovgrad
DIM
82%
14%
4%
48 27 21 0
16 Nov. 2019
AKU
Atletik Kuklen
0 - 2
Maritsa Plovdiv
MAR
18%
23%
59%
47 34 13 +1
09 Nov. 2019
MAR
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 - 0
Zagorets
ZAG
22%
24%
55%
46 53 7 +1

Matches

Nesebar
Nesebar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2019
ROD
Rodopa Smolyan
1 - 0
Nesebar
NES
65%
20%
15%
44 50 6 0
16 Nov. 2019
NES
Nesebar
1 - 0
Minyor Radnevo
MIN
50%
24%
25%
42 43 1 +2
09 Nov. 2019
CHE
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
2 - 1
Nesebar
NES
58%
21%
21%
43 46 3 -1
31 Oct. 2019
NES
Nesebar
4 - 0
Sokol Markovo
SKM
80%
12%
8%
44 31 13 -1
24 Oct. 2019
KAR
Karnobat
1 - 2
Nesebar
NES
19%
21%
61%
44 31 13 0