Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Marítimo vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 3
MAR
56%
19%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
53%
20%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 5
MAR
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
SPB
3 - 1
FCP
36%
22%
42%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 0
SPB
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
47%
22%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 0
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |