Marítimo vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
UDL
1 - 3
MAR
34%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
OLH
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NAV
0 - 3
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
66%
22%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |