Marítimo II vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
5º
38
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
REB
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 0
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GON
2 - 2
GUA
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LUS
4 - 0
GON
45%
27%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
GON
20%
26%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GON
1 - 2
SAL
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GON
0 - 1
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |