Marítimo Graciosa vs Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo Graciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
FAB
11%
19%
71%
|
13 | 59 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
FLA
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
IDE
4 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 4
RAB
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIT
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
FAB
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
IDE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |