Marino vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARU
1 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
LPA
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
VER
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
TEL
59%
21%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 1
VER
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDB
3 - 0
LAN
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 1
TEL
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SDT
2 - 2
LAN
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |