Marino vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATB
0 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
LEG
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
CDG
3 - 2
SLA
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDG
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CDG
0 - 0
SSR
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FUE
3 - 1
CDG
40%
27%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CDG
0 - 0
OVI
30%
28%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |