Marino vs Herbania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
YAI
2 - 0
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
VSB
3 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDT
37%
27%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Herbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
HBN
0 - 1
CSU
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VSB
1 - 0
HBN
37%
25%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
HBN
1 - 1
UDG
42%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
HBN
1 - 0
YAI
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
HBN
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |