Marino CF vs Victoria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAR
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CMA
0 - 2
MAR
24%
23%
53%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MEI
0 - 0
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 1
MEI
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CED
1 - 2
VIC
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
SPA
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 0
IMP
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
UDC
2 - 3
VIC
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |