Marino CF vs Hercules SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
OBR
1 - 1
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
RAC
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 3
MAR
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 4
MAR
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATL
47%
20%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
SPO
79%
12%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 4
HER
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HER
4 - 0
OCA
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 3
HER
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |