National Soccer Jor. 27

Marines FC vs Police FC analysis

Marines FC Police FC
37 ELO 35
-11.5% Tilt -13.4%
6945º General ELO ranking 7191º
11º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Marines FC
24%
Draw
30.9%
Police FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
Marines FC
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.9%
Win probability
Police FC
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marines FC
-22%
-4%
Police FC

ELO progression

Marines FC
Police FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marines FC
Marines FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2024
MAR
Marines FC
0 - 0
Bugesera
BUG
48%
24%
28%
36 36 0 0
29 Mar. 2024
AMA
Amagaju
1 - 0
Marines FC
MAR
43%
28%
29%
36 38 2 0
10 Mar. 2024
MAR
Marines FC
2 - 1
Gorilla
GFC
53%
23%
25%
36 35 1 0
03 Mar. 2024
GFC
Gasogi United
2 - 0
Marines FC
MAR
43%
24%
32%
37 35 2 -1
24 Feb. 2024
MAR
Marines FC
3 - 0
Kiyovu Sport
KIY
40%
25%
35%
35 38 3 +2

Matches

Police FC
Police FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2024
POL
Police FC
2 - 0
Amagaju
AMA
40%
24%
36%
34 38 4 0
30 Mar. 2024
GFC
Gorilla
2 - 0
Police FC
POL
46%
22%
32%
35 34 1 -1
10 Mar. 2024
POL
Police FC
2 - 1
Gasogi United
GFC
47%
24%
29%
34 37 3 +1
01 Mar. 2024
KIY
Kiyovu Sport
2 - 1
Police FC
POL
52%
23%
25%
35 37 2 -1
24 Feb. 2024
POL
Police FC
0 - 1
AS Kigali
ASK
47%
27%
26%
35 38 3 0
X