Rwanda League Round 15

Marines FC vs Police FC analysis

Marines FC Police FC
41 ELO 44
-20.5% Tilt -17.3%
8603º General ELO ranking 7602º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.1%
Marines FC
27.3%
Draw
32.6%
Police FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
Marines FC
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
Police FC
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marines FC
-37%
+13%
Police FC

ELO progression

Marines FC
Police FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marines FC
Marines FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2017
KIY
Kiyovu Sport
0 - 1
Marines FC
MAR
51%
25%
24%
42 42 0 0
13 Jan. 2017
MAR
Marines FC
0 - 2
APR FC
APR
44%
28%
28%
42 42 0 0
08 Jan. 2017
ETI
Etincelles FC
2 - 1
Marines FC
MAR
48%
27%
26%
42 42 0 0
30 Dec. 2016
MAR
Marines FC
3 - 0
Pepiniere
PEP
41%
26%
33%
42 41 1 0
24 Dec. 2016
MAR
Marines FC
2 - 1
Kirehe
KIR
39%
27%
35%
42 42 0 0

Matches

Police FC
Police FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2017
POL
Police FC
3 - 0
AS Kigali
ASK
53%
25%
22%
42 42 0 0
14 Jan. 2017
ESP
Espoir FC
0 - 0
Police FC
POL
36%
28%
36%
42 42 0 0
07 Jan. 2017
POL
Police FC
2 - 1
Sunrise
SUN
51%
25%
24%
42 42 0 0
30 Dec. 2016
POL
Police FC
1 - 2
Kiyovu Sport
KIY
51%
25%
24%
42 42 0 0
23 Dec. 2016
APR
APR FC
2 - 2
Police FC
POL
51%
24%
25%
42 42 0 0