Marine vs Scarborough Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 0
LIV
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
GAI
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
1 - 2
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
BEL
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
BUX
0 - 1
SCA
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 3
SCA
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 3
KIN
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 1
SCA
28%
27%
46%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 2
KID
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |