Marine vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAT
24%
24%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
STO
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ILK
2 - 1
SAL
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 4
DAR
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 0
RAM
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
FRI
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BLY
2 - 1
SAL
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |