Marine vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
NAN
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAL
16%
21%
62%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
WHI
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 1
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 3
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 0
STA
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 6
SCA
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
HED
0 - 1
LAN
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
LAN
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
BAS
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |