Marília vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAB
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VOT
2 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
OLI
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SJS
0 - 1
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |