Marília vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 0
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAT
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
MON
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MON
3 - 3
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MIR
3 - 1
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |