Marignane vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
HYE
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ROD
0 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LEP
3 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 0
LEP
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 2
PAU
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
LAS
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 2
PAU
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |