Marignane vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HYE
0 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
COL
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FCM
2 - 3
MAR
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
MOA
45%
28%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HYE
2 - 0
MAR
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEP
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
NIC
41%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 1
NIC
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |