Marienlyst vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
4 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BRØ
4 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
HEL
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAS
1 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HEL
2 - 0
THI
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
THI
2 - 2
HVI
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LFA
2 - 1
THI
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
THI
1 - 3
BFR
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AAF
2 - 1
THI
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |