Marienlyst vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
NAS
4 - 2
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
SYD
73%
16%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SKI
1 - 3
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
HBK
2 - 0
LYN
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
VEJ
2 - 0
HBK
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
HBK
2 - 1
VFF
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HBK
0 - 1
VES
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FYN
0 - 3
HBK
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |