Marienlyst vs Boldklubben 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
1º
21
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
OKS
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HED
1 - 2
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RIN
1 - 0
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
OBK
6%
14%
81%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
TAR
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Boldklubben 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
B19
4 - 1
OTB
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OKS
1 - 0
B19
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 3
B19
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
B19
0 - 1
HED
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
B19
2 - 0
VAR
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |