Marienlyst vs Aarhus Fremad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 1
MAR
20%
21%
60%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
KER
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
OFA
1 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAS
24%
22%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
AAR
4 - 3
SYD
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AAR
2 - 1
TAR
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 2
AAR
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AAR
0 - 2
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
B19
2 - 1
AAR
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |