Mariekerke vs Excelsior Kaart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariekerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
VOS
3 - 3
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TER
4 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LON
3 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 4
TEM
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |