Q. Europa League 4a Ronda. Final
Global 3-5
Maribor vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
NKN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
HIB
2 - 3
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
GOR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
FSV
2 - 1
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 2
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |