Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-1
Maribor vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 2
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
RUD
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCK
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 1
ABE
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 0
VEN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 4
ABE
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
ABE
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |